中國(guó)綠色儲(chǔ)蓄率核算:1978-2010

摘要： 本文借鑒世界銀行提出的真實(shí)儲(chǔ)蓄率概念和核算方法,在考慮自然災(zāi)害、人力資本、綠色投資以及在凈進(jìn)口外部自然資本的情況下,提出綠色儲(chǔ)蓄率概念和核算方法,以更全面衡量綠色國(guó)民財(cái)富,作為建立新的經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)發(fā)展評(píng)價(jià)體系的基礎(chǔ)和參照。本文計(jì)算1978-2010年期間中國(guó)綠色儲(chǔ)蓄率的變遷情況,發(fā)現(xiàn)它的歷史軌跡是呈現(xiàn)早期下降,其后不斷上升的"J"字型路線,反映了這一時(shí)期生態(tài)赤字從擴(kuò)大到縮小,綠色儲(chǔ)蓄率不斷上升的基本趨勢(shì)。
This paper proposes the concept and accounting methodology for green savings rate with reference to those presented by the World Bank as well as full considerations of the impacts of natural disasters,human capital,green investment and net import of external nature capital in open-up environment.This paper aims to fully evaluate the Green National Wealth[T1]and to lay the foundation for new evaluation system of economic and social development.This paper calculates the change of China’s Green Savings Rate from1978 to 2010.And the paper discovers that the curve of Green Saving Rate,which appears as a"J"shaped route,is descending during early years but then keeps ascending later.It reveals the trend of China’s ecological balance,which is initially an expanding deficit but now a growing surplus,thus further demonstrates that China’s Greening Saving Rate is continuously increasing.