國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)核算更新方案:潛在影響及其應(yīng)對(duì)

摘要： 經(jīng)過(guò)多年的準(zhǔn)備,修訂后的國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)核算體系正式發(fā)布。作為最核心的國(guó)際統(tǒng)計(jì)標(biāo)準(zhǔn),新的國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)核算體系在很多方面發(fā)生了明顯的改變,將對(duì)有關(guān)經(jīng)濟(jì)分析和政策制定產(chǎn)生深遠(yuǎn)的影響。本文從增加值變化及資產(chǎn)概念調(diào)整、金融創(chuàng)新及記錄方法、全球化及相關(guān)問(wèn)題、一般政府和公共部門、非正規(guī)經(jīng)濟(jì)等幾方面總結(jié)了國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)核算體系的主要變化,并從宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)、經(jīng)濟(jì)分析框架、政策設(shè)計(jì)影響等角度評(píng)估了國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)核算更新方案的潛在影響。研究認(rèn)為,國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)核算的更新方案現(xiàn)實(shí)意義明顯,應(yīng)通過(guò)統(tǒng)計(jì)方法改革主動(dòng)應(yīng)對(duì)有關(guān)機(jī)遇和挑戰(zhàn)。
After years of preparation,the revised SNA formally completed.As the core international statistical standard,the new SNA made significant progress and would make profound impacts on economic analysis and policy making.In this paper,we summarized main changes in SNA2008 from different perspectives,such as changing of added value and adjustments of asset concept,financial innovation and recording method,globalization and related issues,general government and public sector,informal economy and others and analyzed potential impacts of changes in SNA2008 from macroeconomic data,economic analysis framework and policy design,etc.Researches show that revised SNA brought significant implications and we suggest promoting statistical reform of China for related opportunities and challenges.